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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

data as of 2026-04-17 10:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$16K$32K
Holders470+55415
Trades4.4K+284.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.4%
−15.6 pp
61.0%
Avg ROI2.4%
+0.9 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.40
+18.82×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.26
+15.65×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.5K
−$5.3K
$20.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−150.6 pp
56.9%
Underwater %95.9%
+91.7 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.7%
−4.4 pp
70.0%
Bot %69.0%
−2.5 pp
71.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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