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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 09:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$9.8K$8.6K
Holders321−66387
Trades2.4K−3992.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−0.5 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
+0.5 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−13.89×
×14.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−13.84×
×14.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.7K
+$7.8K
$8.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.06
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.8%
+139.8 pp
-93.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.3 pp
99.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.1%
+6.1 pp
31.0%
Bot %55.1%
+7.1 pp
47.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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