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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 16?

data as of 2026-02-15 12:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$528−$47K$48K
Holders67+562
Trades459+167292
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−42.1 pp
88.8%
Avg ROI3.9%
+1.9 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.36
+0.36×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.46
+0.45×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$30
$31
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.18
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-31.6%
−31.3 pp
-0.3%
Underwater %97.9%
+3.2 pp
94.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.3%
+3.0 pp
1.3%
Bot %4.3%
+3.0 pp
1.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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