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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 10:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.7K−$14K$19K
Holders282−5287
Trades1.6K+441.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
−3.0 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI2.8%
+1.1 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.19
+4.43×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.46
+4.70×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.6K
−$11.8K
$16.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.1%
−115.6 pp
33.5%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.1%
−10.0 pp
34.1%
Bot %41.6%
−12.9 pp
54.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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