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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 15:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.5K+$4.6K$3.9K
Holders125+14111
Trades1.3K−1741.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
+0.3 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI3.4%
+0.3 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.52
+23.21×
×0.31
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.60
+23.33×
×0.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
+$872
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.14
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−322.5 pp
226.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.4%
+1.0 pp
57.3%
Bot %71.7%
+3.3 pp
68.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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