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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-18 06:34 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6−$24$29
Holders4−15
Trades4−26
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate6.2%
−90.3 pp
96.5%
Avg ROI-4.6%
−4.7 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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