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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

data as of 2026-02-26 10:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$78K$82K
Holders417+130287
Trades2.9K+7962.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.1%
−32.5 pp
71.6%
Avg ROI4.0%
+3.0 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.92
+2.07×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.75
+4.87×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.4K
−$19.9K
$23.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.8%
−104.0 pp
15.2%
Underwater %93.2%
+93.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.4%
+6.5 pp
70.9%
Bot %76.5%
+6.3 pp
70.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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