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Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?

data as of 2026-02-28 09:10 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
91¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$267−$3.0K$3.3K
Holders19+145
Trades81+6615
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
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██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$4
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
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██
Holder gini██
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██
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