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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

data as of 2026-04-27 19:25 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.1K−$23K$26K
Holders166+24142
Trades1.3K−191.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.9%
−15.7 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−0.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.66
+10.95×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.62
+11.92×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$455
−$2.6K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.10
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−136.0 pp
43.5%
Underwater %90.9%
+90.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
−18.8 pp
76.4%
Bot %59.7%
−20.1 pp
79.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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