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Ethereum Up or Down on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-29 17:15 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
77¢
DOWN
20¢
UP
77¢
UpU-DDown
Position$698+$175$523
Holders9−110
Trades29−130
DOWN
20¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−7.7 pp
56.8%
Avg ROI5.5%
+0.9 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−0.50×
×1.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−0.83×
×1.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$208
−$52
$260
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.2%
+73.1 pp
-35.9%
Underwater %20.4%
−79.6 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.4%
−50.8 pp
71.3%
Bot %20.4%
−60.2 pp
80.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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