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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

data as of 2026-01-01 15:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40K+$17K$22K
Holders278−50328
Trades5.3K−7346.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+12.4 pp
42.7%
Avg ROI0.5%
+4.0 pp
-3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−31.67×
×32.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−30.54×
×31.18
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.8K
+$2.8K
$9.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL52.8%
+149.6 pp
-96.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.0%
+12.8 pp
67.2%
Bot %78.7%
+12.6 pp
66.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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