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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 05:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.5K−$2.1K$6.5K
Holders109−1110
Trades1.3K+681.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.2%
−17.5 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI-0.1%
+1.1 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×44.19
+42.87×
×1.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.19
+39.82×
×1.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$1.0K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.12
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−69.7 pp
-27.8%
Underwater %96.4%
+0.0 pp
96.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.7%
+3.2 pp
80.5%
Bot %87.1%
+1.8 pp
85.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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