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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-06 02:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$21K$28K
Holders410+116294
Trades3.2K+8932.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−9.9 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI1.3%
+2.2 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.00
+23.25×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.09
+23.35×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.1K
−$9.3K
$15.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−128.7 pp
33.1%
Underwater %94.1%
+94.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.6%
−16.0 pp
75.6%
Bot %60.6%
−16.0 pp
76.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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