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Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?

data as of 2025-12-13 09:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$259−$44K$44K
Holders83+4637
Trades1.2K+375808
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.3%
−54.0 pp
80.3%
Avg ROI87.0%
+89.5 pp
-2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.42
−0.65×
×1.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−0.49×
×1.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36
−$948
$984
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.39
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.2%
+56.3 pp
-7.1%
Underwater %13.0%
−87.0 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.5%
−41.0 pp
66.4%
Bot %8.5%
−59.0 pp
67.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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