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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.9K+$834$2.1K
Holders70070
Trades558−153711
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+1.2 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI3.5%
+0.5 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−0.97×
×1.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−1.09×
×1.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$821
+$274
$547
Recent buyer dominance0.82
+0.01
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.6%
+75.6 pp
-48.0%
Underwater %0.5%
−99.1 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.2%
−15.0 pp
37.2%
Bot %78.6%
−0.7 pp
79.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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