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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

data as of 2026-02-18 19:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.5K−$39K$49K
Holders474+74400
Trades4.1K+2493.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.2%
−32.2 pp
67.5%
Avg ROI31.6%
+9.7 pp
21.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.63
+26.89×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.59
+23.83×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.5K
−$10.7K
$19.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.00
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−132.5 pp
36.4%
Underwater %98.3%
+97.8 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.5%
−6.2 pp
64.7%
Bot %56.7%
−5.9 pp
62.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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