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Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

data as of 2026-06-16 14:23 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
36¢
NO
64¢
YES
36¢
YesY-NNo
Position$22K+$2.3K$20K
Holders432+144288
Trades3.7K+7682.9K
NO
64¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.1%
+0.7 pp
57.5%
Avg ROI5.8%
+4.3 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.27
+0.55×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.32
+0.56×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
−$14
$32
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.8%
−52.6 pp
28.7%
Underwater %77.8%
+71.2 pp
6.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.2%
−54.3 pp
56.5%
Bot %1.1%
−57.2 pp
58.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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