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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 24?

data as of 2026-03-24 05:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$611−$16K$16K
Holders132−7139
Trades1.4K+3301.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.7%
−43.6 pp
80.3%
Avg ROI18.5%
+19.0 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.88
+1.88×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.51
+1.50×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$161
$172
Recent buyer dominance0.74
+0.08
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-62.0%
−62.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %87.4%
+31.3 pp
56.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.9%
+18.4 pp
22.5%
Bot %41.0%
+18.5 pp
22.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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