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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 5?

data as of 2026-04-05 06:08 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$201−$19K$20K
Holders66−623689
Trades640−4031.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.7%
−37.6 pp
83.3%
Avg ROI6.0%
+4.2 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.20
+1.20×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.07
+4.08×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$8.4K
$8.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.32
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.6%
−85.1 pp
0.6%
Underwater %94.1%
+55.3 pp
38.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.1%
+5.8 pp
1.3%
Bot %7.8%
+6.4 pp
1.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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