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Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

data as of 2025-09-17 07:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$44K$46K
Holders90+4149
Trades923+587336
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.5%
−13.2 pp
47.7%
Avg ROI10.3%
+4.4 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.87
+0.87×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.25
+2.26×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33
−$5.4K
$5.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.2%
−76.1 pp
0.9%
Underwater %91.0%
+89.8 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.5%
−43.8 pp
94.2%
Bot %26.0%
+0.5 pp
25.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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