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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 07:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$13K$6.3K
Holders324−41365
Trades2.0K−2132.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.8%
+8.6 pp
48.2%
Avg ROI1.3%
−0.7 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−21.45×
×22.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−25.78×
×26.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.7K
+$12.8K
$4.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.7%
+118.6 pp
-95.9%
Underwater %22.6%
−73.3 pp
95.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.8%
−4.3 pp
38.1%
Bot %52.7%
+3.7 pp
49.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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