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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 07:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$14K$14K
Holders328+36292
Trades2.6K−4363.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
+1.2 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.6 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−11.76×
×12.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−11.49×
×12.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.5K
+$11.9K
$12.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.4%
+139.1 pp
-91.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.3%
+1.9 pp
56.4%
Bot %70.0%
+5.4 pp
64.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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