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Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?

data as of 2026-07-20 04:08 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 24, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
86¢
NO
39¢
YES
86¢
YesY-NNo
Position$104−$51$155
Holders10−1929
Trades14−3953
NO
39¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+4.8 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI4.1%
−47.7 pp
51.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
+0.52×
×0.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
+0.63×
×0.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
+$7
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.8%
−339.5 pp
357.3%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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