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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-22 19:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$1.7K$36K
Holders422+148274
Trades5.0K−3215.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.9%
−2.1 pp
56.9%
Avg ROI3.0%
+2.8 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.53
+24.10×
×0.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.11
+22.64×
×0.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.4K
−$810
$13.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.19
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.9%
−207.2 pp
111.4%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.7%
−10.4 pp
68.1%
Bot %58.2%
−17.6 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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