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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

data as of 2026-04-13 19:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$33K$5.0K
Holders422−18440
Trades3.5K+1663.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.5%
+26.3 pp
38.2%
Avg ROI1.0%
+1.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−109.65×
×110.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−100.59×
×101.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.2K
+$27.0K
$4.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.9%
+121.2 pp
-99.3%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.6 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.4%
−4.0 pp
71.4%
Bot %68.2%
−2.6 pp
70.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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