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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 11:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K+$2.1K$6.9K
Holders128+4124
Trades1.6K−1481.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
+0.2 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI0.3%
−1.1 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.55
−19.58×
×20.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.56
−20.10×
×20.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.0K
+$749
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.9%
+175.1 pp
-95.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.0%
−9.0 pp
63.1%
Bot %65.8%
−8.4 pp
74.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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