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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2025-09-23 18:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$285+$23$261
Holders707
Trades25−328
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.4%
+40.6 pp
30.9%
Avg ROI0.3%
+16.2 pp
-15.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.68
+1.07×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.67
+1.03×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$278
+$45
$233
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-40.0%
−95.9 pp
55.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+98.9 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.1%
−72.6 pp
78.7%
Bot %6.1%
−72.6 pp
78.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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