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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 21?

data as of 2026-06-19 06:05 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
97¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$238$241
Holders3−710
Trades19+217
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.7%
−66.5 pp
94.2%
Avg ROI19.8%
+21.6 pp
-1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.67
+0.67×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.62
+0.62×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$15
$16
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-38.2%
−38.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %92.6%
+92.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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