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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

data as of 2026-04-18 08:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$17K$4.1K
Holders107−69176
Trades1.0K−2511.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.0%
+5.0 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI0.3%
−2.1 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−53.55×
×54.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−66.64×
×67.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.0K
+$4.9K
$108
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.04
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.6%
+114.1 pp
-98.5%
Underwater %1.3%
−98.7 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.1%
+23.0 pp
56.0%
Bot %79.4%
+24.2 pp
55.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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