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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

data as of 2026-02-13 04:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.2K−$5.3K$14K
Holders302+181121
Trades2.4K+3252.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−19.7 pp
57.0%
Avg ROI21.9%
+21.2 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.15
+36.55×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.24
+35.62×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.1K
−$2.2K
$9.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.05
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−159.0 pp
62.1%
Underwater %91.9%
+90.4 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.5%
−28.7 pp
74.2%
Bot %43.9%
−28.8 pp
72.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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