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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 22:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.0K−$5.8K$7.8K
Holders94−9103
Trades747+117630
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
−2.2 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI1.4%
−1.6 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.78
+10.97×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.49
+10.68×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$365
−$2.2K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−114.9 pp
23.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.5%
+4.7 pp
39.8%
Bot %54.5%
−1.4 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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