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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 08:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K−$9.1K$48K
Holders359−103462
Trades5.1K+9054.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−5.5 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI-4.8%
−7.4 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.15
−82.85×
×83.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.22
−77.54×
×77.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
−$35.7K
$45.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.14
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL343.0%
+441.6 pp
-98.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.1 pp
99.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.2%
−14.9 pp
77.1%
Bot %59.7%
−18.0 pp
77.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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