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Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

data as of 2026-05-24 17:01 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles May 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
97¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$31−$2.2K$2.2K
Holders37−441
Trades383+236147
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−38.0 pp
87.2%
Avg ROI40.4%
+40.2 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.04
−0.98×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.05
−0.98×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$64
$65
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2012.0%
+2014.6 pp
-2.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.2 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.8%
−73.9 pp
87.7%
Bot %13.8%
−73.9 pp
87.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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