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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 6?

data as of 2026-04-06 15:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$522−$1.5K$2.1K
Holders86+1274
Trades664+247417
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.9%
−32.9 pp
71.7%
Avg ROI-0.3%
+0.0 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×63.33
+62.53×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×49.83
+48.97×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$255
$261
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.4%
−118.2 pp
19.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.5%
+28.3 pp
16.2%
Bot %43.9%
+27.6 pp
16.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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