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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 23:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$34K−$171$34K
Holders616+4612
Trades5.1K−2835.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−13.1 pp
57.7%
Avg ROI1.5%
−1.6 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×52.81
+52.36×
×0.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.01
+44.48×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33.3K
+$3.9K
$29.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−196.3 pp
98.5%
Underwater %93.0%
+93.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.4%
+8.0 pp
22.4%
Bot %45.6%
−5.7 pp
51.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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