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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles

data as of 2026-07-10 23:25 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.8K−$4.2K$9.0K
Holders14−822
Trades33−1548
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
−49.2 pp
92.9%
Avg ROI4.9%
+4.5 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×51.00
+50.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.68
+50.75×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$8.4K
$8.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.1%
−106.7 pp
8.6%
Underwater %99.9%
+15.3 pp
84.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.5%
+2.4 pp
4.1%
Bot %10.5%
+7.1 pp
3.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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