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Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

data as of 2026-04-12 19:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.0K−$4.5K$5.5K
Holders58−2179
Trades328−47375
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−13.5 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI16.8%
+16.1 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×81.80
+80.95×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×83.26
+82.39×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$323
$325
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.42
0.58
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.8%
−115.2 pp
16.4%
Underwater %99.2%
+98.4 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.6%
−20.3 pp
41.9%
Bot %21.9%
−20.0 pp
41.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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