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Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?

data as of 2026-02-11 03:19 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$57K+$55K$2.7K
Holders600+455145
Trades1.3K−6832.0K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.5%
+12.6 pp
65.9%
Avg ROI-2.4%
−11.8 pp
9.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−2.14×
×3.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−1.96×
×2.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$479
+$467
$12
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.00
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL5.1%
+70.3 pp
-65.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.7%
−4.0 pp
7.7%
Bot %3.1%
−4.6 pp
7.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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