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Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

data as of 2026-06-22 18:03 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 27, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$28$30
Holders7+61
Trades16+151
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.7%
−40.8 pp
81.5%
Avg ROI85.6%
+73.5 pp
12.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$30
$30
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.4%
+0.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %9.7%
+9.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %88.5%
+88.5 pp
0.0%
Bot %88.5%
+88.5 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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