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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 00:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$3.6K$9.4K
Holders401+96305
Trades3.0K+2262.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−1.4 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI3.5%
+1.6 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×62.35
+61.99×
×0.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×62.62
+62.22×
×0.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
+$5.5K
$6.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.01
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.2%
−256.5 pp
158.3%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.9%
+9.1 pp
44.8%
Bot %67.5%
+10.0 pp
57.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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