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Will Blake Bracht be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

data as of 2026-07-02 16:21 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
6¢
NO
94¢
YES
6¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$25$26
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
94¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate5.9%
−58.7 pp
64.6%
Avg ROI14.0%
+8.4 pp
5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$25
$26
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.1%
+82.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %82.1%
+82.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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