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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 07:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$695$19K
Holders367+44323
Trades3.0K−303.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−2.9 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI19.9%
+15.3 pp
4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.33
+12.69×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.16
+12.53×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.8K
+$1.8K
$18.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.09
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−150.2 pp
58.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.7%
−11.0 pp
29.6%
Bot %29.6%
−17.2 pp
46.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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