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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-01 19:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$15K$9.6K
Holders312+74238
Trades2.7K−4423.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.9%
+12.2 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI-2.5%
+1.0 pp
-3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×74.77
+74.53×
×0.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×72.75
+72.44×
×0.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.8K
+$7.1K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.36
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.6%
−335.6 pp
237.0%
Underwater %99.5%
+98.2 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.4%
−3.1 pp
85.5%
Bot %81.0%
−3.1 pp
84.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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