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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

data as of 2026-02-23 09:31 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$41K+$35K$6.8K
Holders275−166441
Trades2.1K−7022.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.8%
+30.5 pp
28.3%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−4.5 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−11.85×
×12.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−13.93×
×14.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
+$9.3K
$6.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.6%
+121.5 pp
-94.0%
Underwater %13.9%
−76.4 pp
90.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.3%
+25.5 pp
57.8%
Bot %82.5%
+25.2 pp
57.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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