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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 18:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$12K$4.2K
Holders148−22170
Trades1.6K+61.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+19.4 pp
33.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
−3.3 pp
5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−30.05×
×30.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−28.38×
×29.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.2K
+$3.3K
$937
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.10
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.4%
+144.6 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.8 pp
90.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.3%
+1.5 pp
75.8%
Bot %77.2%
+1.4 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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