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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 06:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$14K$16K
Holders289−113402
Trades3.3K−593.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.3%
+33.8 pp
44.5%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.6 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−0.64×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−0.32×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.8K
+$11.1K
$13.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL64.2%
+62.0 pp
2.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−61.7 pp
61.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.4%
−22.7 pp
63.1%
Bot %43.8%
−24.5 pp
68.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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