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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 16:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.2K−$8.4K$17K
Holders271−7278
Trades2.1K+4751.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−0.7 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.6 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.63
+4.98×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.63
+4.98×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.3K
−$8.9K
$16.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.0%
−136.1 pp
54.1%
Underwater %97.5%
+97.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.4%
+0.7 pp
30.7%
Bot %53.1%
−1.6 pp
54.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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