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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 11?

data as of 2026-05-11 13:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$19−$1.3K$1.4K
Holders30−3666
Trades141−76217
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.9%
−59.5 pp
89.4%
Avg ROI8.1%
+8.7 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.00
+9.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.74
+11.75×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$161
$161
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.15
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.1%
−93.1 pp
1.0%
Underwater %89.8%
+89.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.5%
+27.1 pp
3.3%
Bot %43.6%
+40.3 pp
3.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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