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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 14?

data as of 2026-03-12 11:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$51−$8.4K$8.5K
Holders50+644
Trades272+61211
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate25.5%
−34.1 pp
59.6%
Avg ROI-7.0%
−7.9 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.10
+0.11×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.50
+1.51×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32
−$1.2K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.0%
−62.4 pp
1.4%
Underwater %62.0%
+62.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.6%
−10.9 pp
73.6%
Bot %50.5%
−22.8 pp
73.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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