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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-20 06:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$7.0K$3.9K
Holders130−62192
Trades1.1K−981.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+7.2 pp
45.3%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−1.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−21.71×
×22.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−19.61×
×20.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
+$3.4K
$273
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.12
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.5%
+133.5 pp
-96.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−83.7 pp
83.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.1%
+23.3 pp
48.8%
Bot %87.9%
+28.5 pp
59.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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